Bu Yunchaokete vs Otto Virtanen — Nottingham Round of 32
Yunchaokete B.
Bu Yunchaokete faces Otto Virtanen in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Bu Yunchaokete holds the paper edge — ranked #131.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Virtanen O. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Bu Yunchaokete comes in with 1 days of rest and 191 games in 14d, vs Otto Virtanen's 4 and 145.
- Win streak: Bu Yunchaokete arrives on a 9-match winning run.
- Surface form: Bu Yunchaokete 5 of 5, Otto Virtanen 3 of 5 on grass recently — Bu Yunchaokete the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadYunchaokete B.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.