Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#129ATP
1488ELO
1572Grass ELO
$203kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWLL
—
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
#147ATP
1696ELO
1528Grass ELO
$204kYTD
$397kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLLLW
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTCMochizuki S.16%
Zheng M.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Zheng M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.5+43 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.5Grass Elo 1528
2.4Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap7.6Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form0.0Lost last 7
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 46%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form52%1st serve in+11%63%
66%1st serve points won+4%70%
46%2nd serve points won+4%50%
56%Service points won+7%63%
37%Return points won+3%40%
57%Break points saved+6%63%
3.3Aces / match+0.84.1
6.2Double faults / match+4.81.4
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.