Tomas Barrios Vera vs Benjamin Bonzi — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#138ATP
1632ELO
1584Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#99ATP
1733ELO
1635Grass ELO
$263kYTD
$4.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLLWW
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTCBarrios Vera T.36%
Bonzi B.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Bonzi B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1584
Surface ELO5.6+51 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap6.3Overall Elo 1732
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form6.36 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form64%1st serve in+3%67%
66%1st serve points won+5%71%
52%2nd serve points won52%
61%Service points won+4%65%
40%Return points won+3%37%
59%Break points saved+7%66%
3.2Aces / match3.2
1.5Double faults / match+0.21.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.