Matteo Berrettini faces Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 16 on hard. Carlos Alcaraz holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage.
Berrettini M. and Alcaraz C. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Berrettini M. went 5–7 (42%) against them, Alcaraz C. 14–1 (93%). Alcaraz C. came out clearly better against 7 of 11 comparable opponents, Berrettini M. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
Grass: Alcaraz C. leads 1–0 · Clay: Alcaraz C. leads 1–0 · Hard: level 1–1
Umpiry, "Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/alcaraz-vs-berrettini-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).