Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor DimitrovIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-2 6-3
Dimitrov G.
Alcaraz C.
662
Dimitrov G.
230

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-03-18Miami MastersQFhardGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardGrigor Dimitrov5-7 6-2 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Dimitrov G.
74
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
46%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
87
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
66
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+353 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1736
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1744
3.9
H2H
6.1
10.0
Surface form
3.9
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
Prev. match
9.0
6.9
Country comfort
5.6
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
47

Dimitrov G.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 147 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%