Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos AlcarazMiami Masters Quarter-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Dimitrov G.
6-2 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Dimitrov G.
662
Alcaraz C.
240

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-2 6-4 in the Miami Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's semi-final. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardGrigor Dimitrov5-7 6-2 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Alcaraz C.
Serve
74
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
5.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
66
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
9.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
10.0+353 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.1
Surface form
9.2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%