Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor DimitrovParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-1 6-3
Dimitrov G.
Alcaraz C.
662
Dimitrov G.
130

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6-1 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 16. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-03-18Miami MastersQFhardGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardGrigor Dimitrov5-7 6-2 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Dimitrov G.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Dimitrov G.
74
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+353 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1736
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1744
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
69

Dimitrov G.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%