Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz — Shanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Grigor Dimitrov
BUL18
Grigor Dimitrov
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Dimitrov G.
5-7 6-2 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Dimitrov G.
5662
Alcaraz C.
7241

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Carlos Alcaraz 5-7 6-2 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Grigor Dimitrov narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-03-18Miami MastersQFhardGrigor Dimitrov6-2 6-4
2023-06-19Queen's ClubQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Alcaraz C.
—
Serve
74
—
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Dimitrov G.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dimitrov G.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
66
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dimitrov G.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
10.0+353 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
7.6
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dimitrov G.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
64
—

Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Hurkacz H.[16]
Rublev A.[5]
6-33-67-68
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Dimitrov G.[18]
7-676-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Korda S.[26]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[26]
Shelton B.[19]
6-7106-27-66
Dimitrov G.[18]
Jarry N.[22]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[5]
Humbert U.[32]
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-3
R16
Humbert U.[32]
Wolf J.
6-16-2
Hurkacz H.[16]
Zhang Z.
7-664-67-64
Korda S.[26]
Cerundolo F.[20]
7-57-66
Shelton B.[19]
Sinner J.[6]
2-66-37-65
Dimitrov G.[18]
Alcaraz C.[1]
5-76-26-4
Jarry N.[22]
Schwartzman D.
6-35-76-3
Rublev A.[5]
Paul T.[12]
7-57-5
Marozsan F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-633-66-4
R32
Dimitrov G.[18]
Khachanov K.[13]
7-666-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Evans D.[30]
7-616-4
Jarry N.[22]
Sonego L.
7-646-2
Schwartzman D.
Fritz T.[7]
6-43-67-65
Humbert U.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-43-67-5
Wolf J.
Arnaldi M.
2-66-37-64
Paul T.[12]
Fils A.
6-46-776-4
Rublev A.[5]
Mannarino A.[31]
6-36-0
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.[29]
6-46-2
Marozsan F.
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Hsu Y.
6-46-4
Zhang Z.
Nakashima B.
7-626-2
Sinner J.[6]
Baez S.[25]
3-66-36-2
Shelton B.[19]
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Fucsovics M.
3-66-47-5
Korda S.[26]
Medvedev D.[2]
7-686-2
R64
Evans D.[30]
Kukushkin M.
6-23-0
Khachanov K.[13]
Zhukayev B.
7-614-66-2
Mannarino A.[31]
Tseng C.
6-26-2
Lajovic D.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-43-2
Zhang Z.
Etcheverry T.[28]
4-66-36-4
Nakashima B.
Rune H.[3]
6-06-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mcdonald M.
7-647-65
Korda S.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
Humbert U.[32]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-2
Dimitrov G.[18]
Vukic A.
6-46-3
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.[10]
2-66-26-3
Jarry N.[22]
Atmane T.
7-56-2
Schwartzman D.
Lehecka J.[27]
6-43-66-2
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
7-626-766-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Struff J.[21]
6-33-66-4
Wolf J.
Norrie C.[15]
6-35-77-64
Paul T.[12]
Ofner S.
6-36-0
Rublev A.[5]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Ruud C.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-0
Eubanks C.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-36-2
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[11]
6-37-5
Hsu Y.
Musetti L.[17]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[6]
Giron M.
7-676-2
Baez S.[25]
Sweeny D.
6-26-4
Shelton B.[19]
Munar J.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Zverev A.[9]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Auger Aliassime F.[14]
7-634-66-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Garin C.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Kokkinakis T.
7-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Barrere G.
6-27-5
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[24]
6-27-5
R128
Ofner S.
Varillas J.
7-637-66
Yunchaokete B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-766-22-1
Fucsovics M.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Hijikata R.
Djere L.
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-1
Barrere G.
Borges N.
6-26-2
Kukushkin M.
Muller A.
6-766-36-2
Vukic A.
Carballes Baena R.
6-47-67
Zhukayev B.
Napolitano S.
7-57-5
Schwartzman D.
Van Assche L.
5-76-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Shang J.
7-674-66-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.
4-66-36-4
Wolf J.
Cachin P.
3-66-36-4
Fils A.
Kotov P.
6-16-4
Halys Q.
Karatsev A.
7-643-66-2
Nishioka Y.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-62
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
6-46-7106-3
Lajovic D.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.
7-666-2
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-26-4
Hsu Y.
Purcell M.
7-654-66-4
Zhang Z.
Gasquet R.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-63
Sweeny D.
Daniel T.
6-26-3
Safiullin R.
Murray A.
6-36-2
Garin C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-610
Sonego L.
Sekulic P.
6-36-2
Mcdonald M.
Moutet C.
6-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Oconnell C.
6-26-726-4
Munar J.
Te R.
6-26-4
Tseng C.
Shevchenko A.
3-66-36-2
Giron M.
Galan D.
6-46-2