Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos AlcarazAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Berrettini M.
6-2 7-6 4-6 2-6 7-6
Alcaraz C.
Berrettini M.
67742773
Alcaraz C.
26366652

Matteo Berrettini defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-2 7-6 4-6 2-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 64. Matteo Berrettini claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Berrettini closed it out in five sets, 6–2 7–6 4–6 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassCarlos Alcaraz3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
2022-02-14Rio de JaneiroQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 2-6 6-2
2021-10-25ViennaQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-7(2) 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Alcaraz C.
57
Serve
74
10
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Even
69%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (171 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
53
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1797
Surface ELO
10.0+291 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.6
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Caruso S.
6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
Harris L.[30]
4-66-37-57-63
Gombos N.
Skatov T.
6-36-21-66-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[29]
3-67-647-636-3
Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
7-6153-66-46-2
Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
6-16-17-5
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
6-46-36-2
Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
6-36-06-4
Moutet C.
Pouille L.
3-66-36-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
Berrettini M.[7]
Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
Rune H.
3-66-43-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
6-42-63-66-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
3-67-616-736-46-4
Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4