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Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR16HardThu 5 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Paul T.
70%30%

Clear edge for Paul T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Paul T.6.2/10
Even match
Halys Q.4.4/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+204 Hard Elo edgeSupports Paul T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1948Supports Paul T.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Paul T.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
ELO2 149
Hard ELO1 982
Last 107–3
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $15.8M2026 $2.9M
ELO1 979
Hard ELO1 814
Last 105–5
Age30
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.8M2026 $1.1M

Tommy Paul faces Quentin Halys in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 16 on hard. Tommy Paul holds the paper edge — ranked #14, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Tommy Paul ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

Paul T. and Halys Q. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Paul T. went 9–3 (75%) against them, Halys Q. 9–7 (56%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).

9–375%Paul T. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents9–756%Halys Q. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
21–10Sets24–19
168–127Games233–230
2–3Tiebreaks11–5
2–1Deciding sets2–3
Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Clay: Halys Q. leads 1–0 · Hard: Paul T. leads 1–0

Evidence

Paul T.Halys Q.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate69% (48–22) (ahead)58% (41–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2149 (ahead)1979
Hard-court ELO1982 (ahead)1814
Serve vs returnLast 67 vs 64 matches
1st-serve points won74%79% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)34%
Aces / match6.811.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 67 vs 64 matches
Break points saved65%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast6°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity80%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Paul T.Halys Q.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
59Games · 7 days25 — fresher
7Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
160Games · 14 days61 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/halys-vs-paul-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).