Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy PaulWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#73ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#21ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Majchrzak K.
7-5 7-6
Paul T.
Majchrzak K.
7772
Paul T.
5640

Kamil Majchrzak defeated Tommy Paul in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 7-5, 7-6 on hard courts. Majchrzak converted 18% of break points and secured two service breaks, while Paul converted all his break points and secured one service break. Majchrzak served eight aces and committed two double faults, compared to Paul's 10 aces and four double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-07-22AtlantaQ2hardKamil Majchrzak7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Dominant
21
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Majchrzak K.22%
Paul T.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paul T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1739
Surface ELO
6.8+142 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1948
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
62

Majchrzak K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 41 games (7d) · Paul T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw