Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32
Why
Surface+301 Hard Elo edgeSupports Medvedev D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1977Supports Medvedev D.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Buse I.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 901
Hard ELO1 657
Last 106–4
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $1.3M
ELO2 156
Hard ELO2 047
Last 108–2
Age30
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $52.3M2026 $2.9M
Ignacio Buse faces Daniil Medvedev in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #5, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ignacio Buse 46 games in 14 days, Daniil Medvedev 165.
- Under pressure: Daniil Medvedev has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 96 vs Ignacio Buse's 63).
- Last match: Ignacio Buse dropped just 6 games past Zizou Bergs.
Common opponents
13 shared · last 12 monthsBuse I. and Medvedev D. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Buse I. went 6–10 (38%) against them, Medvedev D. 8–5 (62%). Medvedev D. came out better against 7 of 13 comparable opponents, Buse I. against 3.
6–1038%Buse I. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents8–562%Medvedev D. · better vs 7
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
14–24Sets20–15
168–197Games178–163
3–1Tiebreaks2–5
3–2Deciding sets2–2
vs Tiafoe F.#8L7-6 3-6 2-6Rome Masters · clayL6-7(1) 4-6 6-7(6)US Open · hard- vs Nakashima B.#18L2-6 2-6London · grassL7-6(3) 6-7(4) 1-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Rublev A.#22L3-6 3-6 5-7Roland Garros · clayW7-5 6-4Hangzhou · hard
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vs Tabilo A.#30L3-6 3-6Rio de Janeiro · clayW6-4 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Etcheverry T.#31L2-6 5-7Kitzbuhel · clayW6-3 6-4Halle · grass
vs Tsitsipas S.#34L4-6 4-6Gstaad · clayW6-4 7-5Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Berrettini M.#43W6-3 2-6 6-3Rio de Janeiro · clayL0-6 0-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Norrie C.#45L3-6 3-6Montreal · hardW4-6 6-3 7-6(1)Vienna · hard
vs Halys Q.#46L1-6 6-7(3)Beijing · hardW6-7 6-3 6-4 6-2Australian Open · hard- vs Mannarino A.#59L6-0 5-7 4-6Vienna · hardW6-2 6-3Vienna · hard
vs Altmaier D.#63W7-6(5) 7-5Winston-Salem · hardL4-6 4-6Halle · grass
vs Wong C.#85W6-2 3-6 6-3Miami Masters · hardW6-3 6-7(2) 6-3Hangzhou · hard
vs Walton A.#98L4-6 3-6Cincinnati · hardL2-6 6-1 1-6 6-1 4-6Roland Garros · clay
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Buse I.Medvedev D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (30–23)74% (53–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19012156 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16572047 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 71 matches
1st-serve points won69%76% (ahead)
Return points won39%41% (ahead)
Aces / match4.18.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 48 vs 71 matches
Break points saved59%64% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/buse-vs-medvedev-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).