Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio BuseWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#57ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$750kYTD
$5.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 1st on
#36ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWLL
Altmaier D.
6-7 5-7
Buse I.
Altmaier D.
6550
Buse I.
7772

Ignacio Buse defeated Daniel Altmaier in the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Buse and Altmaier hit an equal number of aces, five each, and Buse had fewer double faults, committing two to Altmaier's three. Buse converted 30% of break points and won 78% of first-serve points, securing three service breaks to Altmaier's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Clear edge
15
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Altmaier D.46%
Buse I.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1652
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1822
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
48

Altmaier D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Buse I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw