Iva Jovic vs Alexandra EalaUS Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
#14WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 2nd on
#18WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWWW
Jovic I.
7-5 3-6 7-5
Eala A.
Jovic I.
7372
Eala A.
5651

Iva Jovic advanced to the Round of 16 at the US Open by defeating Alexandra Eala in a three-set match, 7-5, 3-6, 7-5. The match saw both players converting 6 service breaks, but Jovic was more efficient with her break points, converting 55% to Eala's 38%. Jovic hit 1 ace and 2 double faults, while Eala had 2 aces and 5 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • She's an amazing player, young, very talented and very intelligent. Of course, she's a high-ranked player and very, very accomplished, and I've encountered my fair share of challenges against her this year.

    Eala A.Tennis365
  • It took losing my earrings, falling literally flat out on the floor, cuts on my knees, mental breakdowns. It took literally everything.

    Jovic I.WTA Tennis
  • I couldn't believe what just happened. We were both in the positive with winners versus unforced errors, so it was really high level. That gives me a lot of confidence.

    Jovic I.WTA Tennis
  • I'm so excited to be coming to Singapore this September. I love playing in Southeast Asia, it always makes me feel so at home, so I can't wait to see you all at the Singapore Tennis Open at The Kallang.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Iva Jovic closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10LondonR16grassIva Jovic6-2 6-2
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayIva Jovic6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
33
Break points saved·Dominant
95
12
Break points won·Clear edge
98
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
48
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Jovic I.49%
Eala A.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1832
5.1Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1895
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
75

Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Eala A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw