Iva Jovic vs Magdalena FrechUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#14WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 2nd on
#41WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$778kYTD
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
Jovic I.
7-5 6-3
Frech M.
Jovic I.
762
Frech M.
530

Iva Jovic defeated Magdalena Frech in the Round of 128 at the US Open, winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-3. Jovic hit 5 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 40% of her break points and securing 6 service breaks. Frech recorded 1 ace and 2 double faults, converting 36% of her break points and securing 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Iva Jovic closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
19
Break points saved·Dominant
95
15
Break points won·Dominant
98
49
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
29
Tiebreaks·
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Jovic I.75%
Frech M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jovic I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+147 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1700
7.3Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1725
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
95

Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Frech M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw