Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala — London Round of 16

London · WTA · Round of 16

USA

Iva Jovic

#19WTA

1859ELO

1743Grass ELO

$981kYTD

$2.1MCAREER

18 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLLWLWL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 11:30

grass

ANDY MURRAY ARENA · 1st on

PHI

Alexandra Eala

#33WTA

1839ELO

1720Grass ELO

$634kYTD

$2.0MCAREER

21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWLLLW

Iva Jovic faces Alexandra Eala in the London round of 16 on grass. Iva Jovic is the paper favourite — ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage — but Alexandra Eala rides a 6-match win streak.

Key context

Last match: Alexandra Eala dropped just 5 games past Shuai Zhang.
Win streak: Alexandra Eala arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Fatigue load: Alexandra Eala carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Iva Jovic leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Roland Garros 2026.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC

Jovic I.59%

Eala A.41%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jovic I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Jovic I.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Eala A.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.3+23 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.7Grass Elo 1720

5.3Overall Elo 1859

ELO gap

4.7Overall Elo 1839

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

8.99 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

9.29 of last 10 on grass

Win streak

9.06-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.