Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra EalaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#122WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
#18WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Stoiana M.
1-6 2-6
Eala A.
Stoiana M.
120
Eala A.
662

Alexandra Eala defeated Mary Stoiana in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-2 in favor of Eala. Eala converted 50% of her break points and secured four service breaks, compared to none for Stoiana.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • We're very excited; it's confirmed that she is playing the Asian Games. We're very grateful to Alex. She really has a tight schedule.

    Eala A.Tennis365
  • I think at the forefront of everything is gratitude. I'm very grateful for the support that my fans give me and that my supporters give me.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-09W100 Landisville 1R16hardAlexandra Eala7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Stoiana M.16%
Eala A.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Eala A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1567
Surface ELO
8.3+266 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1656
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1895
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.28 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
75

Stoiana M.: played today · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Eala A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw