Himeno Sakatsume vs Mary Stoiana — Canberra 125 Qualifying Round 2

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
JPN
Himeno Sakatsume
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
USA
Mary Stoiana
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Sakatsume H.
7-5 6-2
Stoiana M.
Sakatsume H.
762
Stoiana M.
52–

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Mary Stoiana 7-5 6-2 in the Canberra 125 qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Himeno Sakatsume came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakatsume H.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Stoiana M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sakatsume H.Stoiana M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakatsume H.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Stoiana M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.1+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1567
5.8Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
5.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakatsume H.Stoiana M.
Freshness·Dominant
100
59

Sakatsume H.: 18 days rest · Stoiana M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Liang E.
Hontama M.
6-36-1
Sakatsume H.
Stoiana M.
7-56-2
Zidansek T.
Bulgaru M.
6-26-3
Iatcenko P.
Shibahara E.
4-67-616-2
Kostovic T.
Pridankina E.
7-56-766-2
Gorgodze E.
Koevermans A.
7-54-66-3
Kalieva E.
Zvonareva V.
5-76-26-2
Prozorova T.
Gasanova A.
6-16-4
Q1
Liang E.
Shymanovich I.
4-66-36-1
Hontama M.
Leonard M.
1-66-26-4
Sakatsume H.
Lee C.
6-27-5
Stoiana M.
Rame A.
7-664-66-3
Zidansek T.
Nahimana S.
6-26-4
Bulgaru M.
Alame R.
6-16-4
Iatcenko P.
Wei S.
6-36-3
Shibahara E.
Webb S.
7-656-1
Kostovic T.
Rosatello C.
6-36-1
Pridankina E.
Guillen G.
6-36-2
Gorgodze E.
Janicijevic S.
6-36-3
Koevermans A.
Rokusek S.
6-06-1
Zvonareva V.
Branstine C.
6-16-2
Kalieva E.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-2
Gasanova A.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-27-61
Prozorova T.
Shimizu A.
7-56-1