Iva Jovic vs Coco GauffUS Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
#14WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 3rd on
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Jovic I.
1-6 4-6
Gauff C.
Jovic I.
140
Gauff C.
662

Coco Gauff defeated Iva Jovic in the Round of 16 at the US Open, winning in straight sets 6-1, 6-4. The match took place on a hard court. Gauff advanced with the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Gave absolutely everything last night. Insane atmosphere, insane level from Alex Eala, and a night I will always remember.

  • It says a lot about her as a person. I'm going to start crying. But it says a lot about her character that she was able to do that after that type of match and still come over to hug me and wish me all the best.

  • I'm at the point where I'm used to being in this position. I'm constantly putting myself in quarterfinals, so the moment doesn't seem as big anymore.

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis
  • I'm doing a good job of keeping it in the past and focusing on the present. I don't view it as opportunities lost; I try to view it as what to do better.

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11RomeR16clayCoco Gauff5-7 7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
81
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Jovic I.28%
Gauff C.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gauff C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1847
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2071
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
72

Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw