Sara Bejlek vs Coco GauffCincinnati Semi-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Semi-final
#29WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$682kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 23 August 2026 ·
hard
P&G STADIUM COURT · 5th on
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Bejlek S.
4-6 1-6
Gauff C.
Bejlek S.
410
Gauff C.
662

Coco Gauff advanced to the final of the Cincinnati tournament by defeating Sara Bejlek in the semifinals with a score of 6-4, 6-1. Gauff hit two aces and committed two double faults, while Bejlek had no aces and one double fault. Gauff won 77% of her first-serve points and converted 86% of her break points, securing six service breaks to Bejlek's two.

Around the match

  • I just keep believing and my team was helping me a lot mentally. I'm getting better in believing in myself and improving physically on the court.

    Bejlek S.WTA Tennis
  • I just kept believing in the match no matter what. I believed much more than ever, it was always in my head.

    Bejlek S.Yahoo Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
93
Break points saved·Even
77
81
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Bejlek S.18%
Gauff C.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1749
Surface ELO
8.6+286 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1776
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 2071
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
80

Bejlek S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw