Alexandra Korneeva vs Coco Gauff — Toronto Round of 16
Toronto · WTA · Round of 16
—
Sets
Sunday, 9 August 2026 ·
hard
USA4#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWLL
Korneeva A.
vs
Gauff C.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCKorneeva A.7%
Gauff C.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months5 common opponents · Korneeva A. 3–2 · Gauff C. 6–1
Both won · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streakFatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
42 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
64%
1st serve points won·
—
67%
2nd serve points won·
—
42%
Service points won·
—
58%
Return points won·
—
47%
Break points saved·
—
54%
Aces / match·
—
2.5
Double faults / match·
—
6.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
72
80
Korneeva A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 71 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 62%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.