Coco Gauff vs Marie BouzkovaCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 10 · 3rd on
#27WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
Gauff C.
6-3 6-2
Bouzkova M.
Gauff C.
662
Bouzkova M.
320

Coco Gauff defeated Marie Bouzkova 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Cincinnati tournament. Gauff hit 5 aces and 6 double faults, winning 76% of her first serves and converting 25% of break points. She broke Bouzkova's serve three times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayCoco Gauff6-1 7-6
2023-05-08RomeR32clayMarie Bouzkova4-6 6-2 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR64hardMarie Bouzkova7-5 1-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
46
Break points saved·Dominant
81
47
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
39
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Gauff C.81%
Bouzkova M.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+236 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1798
7.5Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1871
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
69

Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw