Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#21WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWL
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
#62WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWWL
Bouzkova M.
vs
Bouzas Maneiro J.

Marie Bouzkova faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32 on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #21, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Bouzkova M.70%
Bouzas Maneiro J.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bouzkova M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+135 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1664
6.9Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1721
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.32 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
48
Break points saved·Dominant
28
2
Break points won·Slight edge
95
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
78
Tiebreaks·
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
94

Bouzkova M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw