Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea — US Open Round of 32
ITA19
ROU16
Paolini J.
Sorana Cirstea advanced to the US Open Round of 16 with a 6-3, 6-3 win over Jasmine Paolini in the Round of 32. Cirstea hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, while converting 43% of break points and securing 3 service breaks. Paolini had 1 ace, 3 double faults, 50% break point conversion, and 1 service break.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Sorana Cirstea dropped just 6 games past Jasmine Paolini.
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-19 | Dubai | SF | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2 7-6 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 7-5 2-6 6-2 |
| 2021-09-13 | Portoroz | QF | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 4-6 6-1 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Cirstea S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPaolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Cirstea S.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About