Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini — Riyadh Finals Round Robin
Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
ITA8#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Sabalenka A.6-3 6-1
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Paolini J.
310
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-1 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped just 4 games past Jasmine Paolini.
Head to head
5–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells | R64 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 2-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2020-11-09 | Linz | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Dominant
100
69
Break points saved·Dominant
89
20
Break points won·Even
98
95
Deciding sets·Even
94
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
83
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Sabalenka A.: 18 days rest · Paolini J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast