Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine PaoliniLinz Round of 32

Linz · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 November 2020
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-4
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Paolini J.
440

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-4 in the Linz round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6(4)
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Paolini J.
96
Serve
31
39
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
76

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
5°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%