Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini — Stuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2116Clay ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
[5]
#13WTA
1930ELO
1874Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Paolini J.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.2+243 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1874
9.0Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1930
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
7.6
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
7.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
762
Paolini J.
540

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.85
SlowFast

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6(4)
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-3
2020-11-09LinzR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Paolini J.
65%1st serve in+1%66%
74%1st serve points won+15%59%
55%2nd serve points won+6%49%
67%Service points won+12%55%
43%Return points won43%
69%Break points saved+12%57%
5.3Aces / match+3.32
2.1Double faults / match+0.31.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Ostapenko J.
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Ostapenko J.
Alexandrova E.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[5]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.
6-46-1
Paolini J.[5]
Gauff C.[4]
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.
Pegula J.[3]
6-06-4
Ostapenko J.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-33-66-2
R16
Swiatek I.[2]
Fett J.
6-26-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
W/O
Mertens E.
Shnaider D.[8]
6-27-65
Paolini J.[5]
Niemeier J.
6-17-5
Alexandrova E.
Andreeva M.[6]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Frech M.
6-16-1
Ostapenko J.
Navarro E.[7]
7-53-66-2
Gauff C.[4]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
R32
Andreeva M.[6]
Andreeva E.
6-21-0
Seidel E.
Maria T.
3-67-626-4
Niemeier J.
Siegemund L.
4-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.
Yastremska D.
6-33-0
Frech M.
Errani S.
7-54-67-65
Potapova A.
Tauson C.
2-67-686-3
Mertens E.
Sasnovich A.
7-636-2
Shnaider D.[8]
Kudermetova V.
5-76-26-3
Paolini J.[5]
Lys E.
6-26-1
Alexandrova E.
Samsonova L.
6-36-3
Navarro E.[7]
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-0
Fett J.
Vekic D.
7-626-4