Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini — Beijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#13WTA
1930ELO
1885Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Paolini J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+326 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1885
9.0Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1930
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.2
Surface form
5.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
6772
Paolini J.
4640

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
0.96
SlowFast

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-1
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-3
2020-11-09LinzR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Paolini J.
65%1st serve in+1%66%
74%1st serve points won+15%59%
55%2nd serve points won+6%49%
67%Service points won+12%55%
43%Return points won43%
69%Break points saved+12%57%
5.3Aces / match+3.32
2.1Double faults / match+0.31.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Samsonova L.
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Samsonova L.
Rybakina E.[5]
7-676-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[3]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Samsonova L.
Ostapenko J.[13]
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.[9]
6-787-656-1
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[6]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-56-2
R16
Ostapenko J.[13]
Pegula J.[4]
6-46-2
Samsonova L.
Kostyuk M.
6-46-747-5
Garcia C.[9]
Kalinina A.
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.
6-47-64
Sakkari M.[6]
Wang X.
6-42-66-3
Gauff C.[3]
Kudermetova V.[16]
7-656-2
Rybakina E.[5]
Andreeva M.
2-66-46-1
R32
Samsonova L.
Kvitova P.[12]
6-47-5
Kalinina A.
Saville D.
6-27-65
Wang X.
Kasatkina D.[11]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[13]
Noskova L.
W/O
Paolini J.
Yuan Y.
2-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Maria T.
7-56-0
Pegula J.[4]
Blinkova A.
6-726-26-1
Kudermetova V.[16]
Tsurenko L.
3-66-06-0
Garcia C.[9]
Putintseva Y.
6-33-66-3
Linette M.
Brady J.
3-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Gauff C.[3]
Martic P.
7-55-77-62
Sabalenka A.[1]
Boulter K.
7-57-62
Kostyuk M.
Jabeur O.[7]
7-656-1
Andreeva M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-1
Sakkari M.[6]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
R64
Blinkova A.
Vekic D.
6-37-5
Wang X.
Zvonareva V.
6-46-3
Gracheva V.
Potapova A.
6-23-66-1
Putintseva Y.
Bouzkova M.
6-27-65
Kostyuk M.
Cocciaretto E.
1-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[5]
Zheng Q.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kenin S.
6-16-2
Yuan Y.
Mertens E.
3-66-16-4
Andreeva M.
Krejcikova B.[10]
6-26-2
Noskova L.
Tian F.
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[13]
Lys E.
2-66-36-2
Kvitova P.[12]
Wang X.
6-767-56-3
Samsonova L.
Parks A.
6-47-64
Jabeur O.[7]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[11]
Sherif M.
1-66-47-68
Tsurenko L.
Zhu L.
6-03-0
Gauff C.[3]
Alexandrova E.
7-56-3
Kalinina A.
Vondrousova M.[8]
1-66-46-1
Saville D.
Siniakova K.
6-26-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-46-3
Brady J.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Linette M.
Azarenka V.[14]
5-76-16-2
Maria T.
Trevisan M.
6-37-62
Boulter K.
Frech M.
6-43-66-2
Martic P.
Cirstea S.
6-22-67-63
Garcia C.[9]
Baindl K.
6-26-4
Paolini J.
Haddad Maia B.[15]
3-66-46-4
Fruhvirtova L.
Rus A.
6-06-3