Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana CirsteaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Paolini J.
6-2 7-6
Cirstea S.
Paolini J.
6782
Cirstea S.
2660

Jasmine Paolini defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-2 7-6 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayJasmine Paolini7-5 2-6 6-2
2021-09-13PortorozQFhardJasmine Paolini6-4 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Cirstea S.
31
Serve
67
55
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
85
Break points saved·Even
87
86
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
85
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1873
Surface ELO
5.2+42 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1957
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
91

Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Cirstea S.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Semi-finals
Paolini J.
Cirstea S.
6-27-66
Kalinskaya A.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4