Jasmine Paolini vs Solana SierraRoland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 64
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 27 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Suzanne-Lenglen · 3rd on
#56WTA
1783ELO
1748Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWL
Paolini J.
6-3 4-6 3-6
Sierra S.
Paolini J.
6431
Sierra S.
3662

Solana Sierra defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Sierra S.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
81
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+160 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1714
7.4Overall Elo 1930
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1739
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in FRA (26)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
89

Paolini J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Sierra S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 25%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final