Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider — US Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#56WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 1st on
Diana Shnaider
RUS15
Diana Shnaider
#16WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
Pliskova K.
1-6 6-7
Shnaider D.
Pliskova K.
160
Shnaider D.
672

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassDiana Shnaider4-6 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
Pliskova K.Shnaider D.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pliskova K.Shnaider D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
82
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
63
Break points won·Slight edge
93
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pliskova K.35%
Shnaider D.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shnaider D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pliskova K.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Shnaider D.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1811
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1891
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pliskova K.Shnaider D.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Pliskova K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw