Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider — Brisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
USA
Madison Keys
[5]
#19WTA
1948ELO
1901Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
RUS
Diana Shnaider
[12]
#23WTA
1882ELO
1828Hard ELO
$952kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
22 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLWLW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Shnaider D.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 76 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.0+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1828
6.0Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1882
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Keys M.
6577772
Shnaider D.
7765641

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.27
SlowFast

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09Queen's ClubQFgrassMadison Keys2-6 6-3 6-4
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardMadison Keys6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Keys M.Shnaider D.
64%1st serve in+1%65%
67%1st serve points won+1%66%
43%2nd serve points won+1%44%
58%Service points won58%
44%Return points won44%
59%Break points saved+2%61%
4.2Aces / match+2.81.4
4.8Double faults / match+0.84

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[16]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Kostyuk M.[16]
Pegula J.[4]
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Muchova K.[11]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Kostyuk M.[16]
Andreeva M.[6]
7-676-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[5]
6-36-3
Muchova K.[11]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-22-66-4
Pegula J.[4]
Samsonova L.[10]
6-37-63
R16
Keys M.[5]
Shnaider D.[12]
6-757-657-64
Kostyuk M.[16]
Anisimova A.[2]
6-46-3
Muchova K.[11]
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-47-5
Andreeva M.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
5-76-47-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-36-3
Samsonova L.[10]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-4
Pegula J.[4]
Yastremska D.
5-76-26-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Badosa P.[15]
6-36-2
R32
Keys M.[5]
Kessler M.
6-46-3
Andreeva M.[6]
Gadecki O.
4-66-16-2
Badosa P.[15]
Bouzkova M.
6-746-46-2
Anisimova A.[2]
Birrell K.
6-16-3
Sasnovich A.
Tauson C.[8]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Samsonova L.[10]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Kostyuk M.[16]
Putintseva Y.
6-756-16-0
Cirstea S.
Ostapenko J.[14]
6-27-65
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.
6-22-66-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Zhang S.
6-37-5
Alexandrova E.[7]
Kenin S.
7-626-3
Yastremska D.
Fernandez L.[13]
6-16-2
Shnaider D.[12]
Potapova A.
6-16-3
Muchova K.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-17-65
Noskova L.[9]
Frech M.
6-756-46-4
R64
Birrell K.
Sramkova R.
6-43-66-3
Kenin S.
Ruse E.
6-44-66-3
Cirstea S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-1
Gadecki O.
Li A.
6-46-4
Potapova A.
Kasatkina D.
7-54-66-4
Zhang S.
Krueger A.
6-45-76-4
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-16-3
Jones E.
Maria T.
6-36-3
Frech M.
Vondrousova M.
7-56-737-60
Yastremska D.
Gibson T.
7-637-64
Sasnovich A.
Blinkova A.
7-56-1
Putintseva Y.
Baptiste H.
6-26-4
Bouzkova M.
Cristian J.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.
Valentova T.
6-46-4
Bucsa C.
Bondar A.
4-67-646-2
Tomljanovic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3