Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson — Nottingham Quarter-final
Pliskova K.
Karolina Pliskova faces Talia Gibson in the Nottingham quarter-final on grass. Talia Gibson is the paper favourite — ranked #66 — but Karolina Pliskova arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on grass to Talia Gibson's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pliskova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Karolina Pliskova comes in with 2 days of rest and 105 games in 14d, vs Talia Gibson's 1 and 77.
- Last match: Karolina Pliskova edged Caty Mcnally in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
- Surface form: Karolina Pliskova 4 of 5, Talia Gibson 2 of 5 on grass recently — Karolina Pliskova the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPliskova K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Gibson T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.