Karolina Pliskova vs Mccartney Kessler

London · WTA · Round of 32

CZE

Karolina Pliskova

#106WTA

1862ELO

1750Grass ELO

34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLWWWW

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 14:30

grass

COURT 1 · 1st on

USA

Mccartney Kessler

#39WTA

1818ELO

1722Grass ELO

$372kYTD

$2.3MCAREER

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWWLLL

Karolina Pliskova fought back from a set down to beat Mccartney Kessler 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the London round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 4: Karolina Pliskova saved three break points to hold serve.
Set 1, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Mccartney Kessler's way.
Pressure points: Karolina Pliskova converted 8 of 11 break points; Mccartney Kessler converted 6 of 12 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Pliskova K.64%

Kessler M.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pliskova K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pliskova K.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Kessler M.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

5.4+28 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.6Grass Elo 1722

5.5Overall Elo 1862

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1818

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.45 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.17 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

6.0Won 67% in GBR (54)

Country comfort

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pliskova K.

6¹662

Kessler M.

7⁷341