Taylor Townsend vs Diana ShnaiderUS Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
#96WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 4 September 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 2nd on
#16WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
Townsend T.
6-2 6-7 6-3
Shnaider D.
Townsend T.
66362
Shnaider D.
27731

Taylor Townsend advanced to the US Open Round of 16 with a three-set win over Diana Shnaider, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3. Townsend converted 67 percent of her break points and secured four service breaks to Shnaider's two. Townsend served two aces to Shnaider's five and made one double fault to Shnaider's four.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Townsend closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
82
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
63
Break points won·Dominant
31
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
87
Tiebreaks·Even
90
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Townsend T.39%
Shnaider D.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shnaider D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1826
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1891
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
81

Townsend T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw