Taylor Townsend vs Belinda BencicToronto Round of 32

Toronto · WTA · Round of 32
#110WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
#14WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
Townsend T.
7-6 6-7 4-6
Bencic B.
Townsend T.
776441
Bencic B.
657762

Belinda Bencic defeated Taylor Townsend in the Round of 32 of the Toronto tournament, winning 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Bencic hit 4 aces and 8 double faults, winning 65% of her first-serve points and converting 33% of her break points. Townsend had 9 aces and 3 double faults, winning 74% of her first-serve points and converting 22% of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayBelinda Bencic6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
90
Break points saved·Even
81
83
Break points won·Dominant
31
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Townsend T.27%
Bencic B.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bencic B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
6.9+156 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1826
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1989
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
69
66

Townsend T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Bencic B.: played today · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw