Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor TownsendUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#22WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 2nd on
#96WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Chwalinska M.
2-6 3-6
Townsend T.
Chwalinska M.
230
Townsend T.
662

Taylor Townsend defeated Maja Chwalinska in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-3 in Townsend's favor. Townsend hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 50% of her break points and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Chwalinska's 1 service break and 20% break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • I'm playing the tournaments that I've always dreamed about playing. I was joking around that it's my best result already in New York, so no pressure at all from this point on.

    Chwalinska M.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
51
Break points saved·Dominant
50
81
Break points won·Dominant
98
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
47
Tiebreaks·
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Chwalinska M.46%
Townsend T.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
75

Chwalinska M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Townsend T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw