Tereza Valentova vs Taylor TownsendToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#67WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#110WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
Valentova T.
4-6 5-7
Townsend T.
Valentova T.
450
Townsend T.
672

Taylor Townsend defeated Tereza Valentova in the Round of 128 in Toronto. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-5 in Townsend's favor. Townsend hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, winning 68% of her first serves and converting 71% of her break points, compared to Valentova's 1 ace, 4 double faults, 62% first-serve win percentage, and 25% break point conversion rate; Townsend had 5 service breaks to Valentova's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Valentova T.58%
Townsend T.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Valentova T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1796
4.9Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
69

Valentova T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Townsend T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw