Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor TownsendToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#26WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$8.5MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#89WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
$2.7MYTD
$10MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Bouzkova M.
6-7 5-7
Townsend T.
Bouzkova M.
6450
Townsend T.
7772

Taylor Townsend defeated Marie Bouzkova in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Townsend hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Bouzkova had 5 aces and 7 double faults. Townsend won 78% of her first-serve points, converted 30% of break points, and broke Bouzkova's serve 3 times, compared to Bouzkova's 2 breaks and 40% break-point conversion rate.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-07RomeR64clayTaylor Townsend6-3 7-5
2026-03-04Indian WellsR128hardTaylor Townsend6-2 6-1
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardMarie Bouzkova7-5 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
57
Break points saved·Dominant
47
81
Break points won·Dominant
95
31
Deciding sets·Clear edge
39
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Bouzkova M.59%
Townsend T.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bouzkova M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1796
5.6Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1826
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
92

Bouzkova M.: 17 days rest · Townsend T.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw