Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa — US Open Round of 128
Kasatkina D.
Paula Badosa defeated Daria Kasatkina in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-4 in favor of Badosa. Badosa converted 30% of her break points and won three service breaks to Kasatkina's zero, also serving two aces to Kasatkina's one, with both players committing five double faults.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Paula Badosa dropped just 5 games past Daria Kasatkina.
Head to head
4–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-10-14 | Ningbo | SF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 0-0 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Paula Badosa | 7-6 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Stuttgart | R32 | clay | Paula Badosa | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2022-08-01 | San Jose | SF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | SF | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Badosa P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About