Paula Badosa vs Maria SakkariCharleston Round of 32

Charleston · WTA · Round of 32
#141WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Badosa P.
6-3 6-4
Sakkari M.
Badosa P.
662
Sakkari M.
340

Paula Badosa defeated Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-4 in the Charleston round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32, but Paula Badosa had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24MadridR16clayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4
2022-03-07Indian WellsSFhardMaria Sakkari6-2 4-6 6-1
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
80
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1684
Surface ELO
6.1+70 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1812
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.2
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.7
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
84

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%