Paula Badosa vs Maria SakkariGuadalajara Finals Round Robin

Guadalajara Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 10 November 2021
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Badosa P.
7-6 6-4
Sakkari M.
Badosa P.
7762
Sakkari M.
6440

Paula Badosa defeated Maria Sakkari 7-6 6-4 in the Guadalajara Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Paula Badosa had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR32clayPaula Badosa6-3 6-4
2023-04-24MadridR16clayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4
2022-03-07Indian WellsSFhardMaria Sakkari6-2 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Sakkari M.
21
Serve
24
19
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
81
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.8+48 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.2
Surface form
6.2
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
90

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About