Maria Sakkari vs Paula BadosaIndian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Sakkari M.
6-2 4-6 6-1
Badosa P.
Sakkari M.
6462
Badosa P.
2611

Maria Sakkari defeated Paula Badosa 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, defending last year's round of 64. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR32clayPaula Badosa6-3 6-4
2023-04-24MadridR16clayMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Badosa P.
24
Serve
21
39
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
93
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Slight edge
87
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+48 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1748
5.8Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
8.5
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
58

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[6]
Badosa P.[5]
6-24-66-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Halep S.[24]
7-666-4