Paula Badosa vs Katerina SiniakovaDubai Round of 64

Dubai · WTA · Round of 64
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Badosa P.
6-3 7-5
Siniakova K.
Badosa P.
672
Siniakova K.
350

Paula Badosa defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-3 7-5 in the Dubai round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #36, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Siniakova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Siniakova K.
21
Serve
21
19
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
75
Break points won·Even
94
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
46
Tiebreaks·Even
94
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.9+59 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1846
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
96

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw