Sumit Nagal vs Duje Ajdukovic — Targu Mures Quarter-final
Nagal S.
Sumit Nagal faces Duje Ajdukovic in the Targu Mures quarter-final on clay. Duje Ajdukovic holds the paper edge — ranked #283. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Sumit Nagal dropped the opening set before beating Benjamin Hassan 1–6 6–4 6–4.
- Last match: Duje Ajdukovic edged Franco Agamenone in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
- Fatigue load: Sumit Nagal carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNagal S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Ajdukovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.