Elmer Moller vs Luca Potenza — Targu Mures Round of 32
DEN
Moller E.
Elmer Moller faces Luca Potenza in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Elmer Moller holds the paper edge — ranked #149, a roughly 310-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Moller E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elmer Moller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 68 vs 4).
- Surface form: Elmer Moller 7 of 10, Luca Potenza 5 of 10 on clay recently — Elmer Moller the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPotenza L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.