Duje Ajdukovic vs Franco AgamenoneTargu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#283ATP
1475ELO
1457Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
#265ATP
1475ELO
1454Clay ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWLWW
Ajdukovic D.
vs
Agamenone F.

Duje Ajdukovic faces Franco Agamenone in the Targu Mures round of 16 on clay. Franco Agamenone holds the paper edge — ranked #265.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC
Ajdukovic D.51%
Agamenone F.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+3 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1454
5.0Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1475
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ajdukovic D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Agamenone F.

Agamenone F.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ajdukovic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
45
Break points saved·Even
59
59
Break points won·Clear edge
32
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
60
49
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
69

Ajdukovic D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Agamenone F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.