Mili Poljicak vs Sumit Nagal — Targu Mures Round of 32
Poljicak M.
Mili Poljicak faces Sumit Nagal in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Sumit Nagal is the paper favourite — ranked #277, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Mili Poljicak arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay to Sumit Nagal's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Mili Poljicak 4 of 7, Sumit Nagal 2 of 7 on clay recently — Mili Poljicak the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadNagal S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.