Benjamin Hassan vs Sumit Nagal — Targu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Benjamin Hassan
LBN
Benjamin Hassan
#438ATP
1451ELO
1454Clay ELO
31 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWLWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
Sumit Nagal
IND
Sumit Nagal
#285ATP
1495ELO
1489Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWLWW
Hassan B.
vs
Nagal S.

Benjamin Hassan faces Sumit Nagal in the Targu Mures round of 16 on clay. Sumit Nagal holds the paper edge — ranked #285, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Hassan B.39%
Nagal S.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nagal S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Benjamin Hassan carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Benjamin Hassan 2 of 7, Sumit Nagal 3 of 7 on clay recently — Sumit Nagal the sharper of late.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hassan B.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Nagal S.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1454
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1451
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1495
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.03 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hassan B.Stable
Nagal S.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
Hassan B.Nagal S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hassan B.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Nagal S.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hassan B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Hassan B.Nagal S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
30
Break points saved·Even
68
69
Break points won·Clear edge
17
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
8
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
60
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Hassan B.Nagal S.
Freshness·Even
93
96

Hassan B.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nagal S.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.