Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar CretuTargu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#283ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
#266ATP
1524ELO
1492Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
Guillen Meza A.
2-6 3-6
Cretu C.
Guillen Meza A.
230
Cretu C.
662

Cezar Cretu defeated Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Targu Mures tournament on clay. Cretu and Guillen Meza were even in aces, double faults, and service breaks, but Guillen Meza had a higher first-serve win percentage and converted all his break points. The win advanced Cretu to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-17M15 Litija 1SFclayAlvaro Guillen Meza6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
40%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
19
25
Break points saved·Slight edge
43
33
Break points won·Clear edge
41
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
36
31
Tiebreaks·
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Guillen Meza A.45%
Cretu C.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1543
4.6Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1581
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
77

Guillen Meza A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Cretu C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw